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Venezuela leader end of 2026?

María Corina Machado

11%

Diosdado Cabello Rondón

2%

Dinorah Figuera

<1%

Vladimir Padrino López

2%

Jorge Rodríguez

<1%

Evan Pettus

<1%

Dan Caine

<1%

No Head of State

<1%

Edmundo González

5%

Delcy Rodríguez

69%

Nicolás Maduro

12%

Donald Trump

<1%

Marco Rubio

<1%

Pete Hegseth

<1%

Frank Donovan

<1%

Richard Grenell

<1%

$15,804,134 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026

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U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?

18%

chance

$394,722 Vol.

Mar 31, 2026

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Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

December 31

12%

March 31

2%

December 31, 2025

No

January 31

No

$13,534,422 Vol.

Mar 31, 2026

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US strike on Mexico by...?

December 31

25%

March 31

8%

January 31

No

$2,295,113 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026

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Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

10%

chance

$206,123 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026

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Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by...?

March 31

44%

February 15

3%

$154,436 Vol.

Mar 31, 2026

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Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?

December 31

56%

June 30

26%

$81,605 Vol.

Jun 30, 2026

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US strike on Cuba by...?

December 31

27%

March 31

6%

January 31

No

$976,391 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026

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Will the US embassy in Venezuela reopen by March 31?

68%

chance

$33,277 Vol.

Mar 31, 2026

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Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by...?

December 31

32%

March 31

4%

January 31

No

$459,338 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026

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Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?

21%

chance

$62,467 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026

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Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach __ barrels per day in 2026?

2m

4%

1.7m

7%

1.5m

8%

1.4m

8%

1.3m

11%

1.2m

12%

1.1m

28%

1m

75%

$52,685 Vol.

Feb 28, 2027

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Venezuela presidential election scheduled by...?

December 31

44%

March 31

7%

January 31

No

$439,740 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026

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Maduro guilty of all counts?

28%

chance

$90,573 Vol.

Dec 31, 2027

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Maduro Prison Time?

60+

47%

40–60

16%

20–40

10%

<20

7%

No prison time

24%

$107,144 Vol.

Dec 31, 2027

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Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by...?

December 31

93%

June 30

5%

$100,831 Vol.

Jun 30, 2026

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Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?

1%

chance

$286,889 Vol.

Mar 31, 2026

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Will the US capture Khamenei before 2027?

6%

chance

$22,261 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026

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Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

11%

chance

$31,707 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026

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Will US annex any territory in 2026?

11%

chance

$10,889 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026