Venezuela leader end of 2026?
María Corina Machado
11%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
2%
Dinorah Figuera
<1%
Vladimir Padrino López
2%
Jorge Rodríguez
<1%
Evan Pettus
<1%
Dan Caine
<1%
No Head of State
<1%
Edmundo González
5%
Delcy Rodríguez
69%
Nicolás Maduro
12%
Donald Trump
<1%
Marco Rubio
<1%
Pete Hegseth
<1%
Frank Donovan
<1%
Richard Grenell
<1%
$15,804,134 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?
18%
chance
$394,722 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?
December 31
12%
March 31
2%
December 31, 2025
No
January 31
No
$13,534,422 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
US strike on Mexico by...?
December 31
25%
March 31
8%
January 31
No
$2,295,113 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
10%
chance
$206,123 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by...?
March 31
44%
February 15
3%
$154,436 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?
December 31
56%
June 30
26%
$81,605 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
US strike on Cuba by...?
December 31
27%
March 31
6%
January 31
No
$976,391 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Will the US embassy in Venezuela reopen by March 31?
68%
chance
$33,277 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by...?
December 31
32%
March 31
4%
January 31
No
$459,338 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?
21%
chance
$62,467 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach __ barrels per day in 2026?
2m
4%
1.7m
7%
1.5m
8%
1.4m
8%
1.3m
11%
1.2m
12%
1.1m
28%
1m
75%
$52,685 Vol.
Feb 28, 2027
Venezuela presidential election scheduled by...?
December 31
44%
March 31
7%
January 31
No
$439,740 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Maduro guilty of all counts?
28%
chance
$90,573 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
Maduro Prison Time?
60+
47%
40–60
16%
20–40
10%
<20
7%
No prison time
24%
$107,144 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by...?
December 31
93%
June 30
5%
$100,831 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?
1%
chance
$286,889 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
Will the US capture Khamenei before 2027?
6%
chance
$22,261 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?
11%
chance
$31,707 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Will US annex any territory in 2026?
11%
chance
$10,889 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026