How much revenue will the U.S. raise from tariffs in 2025?
$4.59M Vol.
22d
22h
48m
$4,587,783 Vol.
Feb 28, 2026
Outcome
% Chance
$2t+
$2t+
$385.18K Vol.
<1%
$500b–1t
$500b–1t
$907.35K Vol.
<1%
<$100b
<$100b
$1.2M Vol.
82%
$200–500b
$200–500b
$627.8K Vol.
9%
$100–200b
$100–200b
$1.04M Vol.
7%
$1–2t
$1–2t
$428.37K Vol.
<1%
Rules
The U.S. government collected $82.2b in customs duties in FY 2025 (See: www.fiscal.treasury.gov/files/reports-statements/financial-report/2024/notes-to-the-financial-statements19.pdf).