
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?
$13.53M Vol.
1m
23d
10h
$13,534,422 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
Outcome
% Chance
December 31
December 31
$136.35K Vol.
12%
March 31
March 31
$2.27M Vol.
2%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between September 6 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".