Event icon

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

$13.53M Vol.

1m

23d

10h

$13,534,422 Vol.

Mar 31, 2026

Outcome

% Chance

December 31

$136.35K Vol.

12%

March 31

$2.27M Vol.

2%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between September 6 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".