Event icon

US next strikes Iran on...?

$6.77M Vol.

22d

12h

12m

$6,768,495 Vol.

Feb 28, 2026

Outcome

% Chance

February 28

$161.92K Vol.

1%

No strike by February 28

$212.91K Vol.

73%

February 27

$147.66K Vol.

<1%

February 26

$185.14K Vol.

<1%

February 25

$147.83K Vol.

<1%

February 24

$159.31K Vol.

<1%

February 23

$145.85K Vol.

<1%

February 22

$151.65K Vol.

<1%

February 21

$129.05K Vol.

2%

February 20

$129.14K Vol.

<1%

February 19

$155.95K Vol.

<1%

February 18

$164.07K Vol.

<1%

February 17

$165.55K Vol.

<1%

February 16

$144.29K Vol.

<1%

February 15

$155.96K Vol.

<1%

February 14

$147.01K Vol.

2%

February 13

$211.34K Vol.

3%

February 12

$156.58K Vol.

1%

February 11

$172.59K Vol.

<1%

February 10

$170.51K Vol.

1%

February 9

$173.68K Vol.

1%

February 8

$199.22K Vol.

2%

February 7

$227.16K Vol.

3%

February 6

$258.62K Vol.

2%

February 5

$248.41K Vol.

<1%

February 4

$368.04K Vol.

<1%

February 3

$433.92K Vol.

<1%

Rules

This market will resolve according to the next date (ET) the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and February 28, 2026, (ET).