
Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?
$1.47M Vol.
4m
25d
6h
$1,471,088 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
Outcome
% Chance
June 30, 2026
June 30, 2026
$575.87 Vol.
38%
March 31, 2026
March 31, 2026
$153.1K Vol.
19%
February 28, 2026
February 28, 2026
$2.76K Vol.
4%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hamas officially announces it will disarm in the Gaza Strip by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".