Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
6%
chance
$504,483 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on...?
February 7
26%
February 6
26%
February 5
8%
February 4
<1%
February 3
Yes
February 2
No
February 1
No
$358,466 Vol.
Feb 28, 2026
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
1%
Rodina
<1%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
4%
United Russia (ER)
72%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
<1%
New People (NL)
23%
Civic Platform (GP)
<1%
$1,604,583 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by...?
March 31
55%
February 28
30%
January 31
No
$609,698 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
Putin out as President of Russia by end of 2026?
11%
chance
$1,910,241 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Which countries will join the Board of Peace by March 31?
Russia
19%
France
3%
Germany
3%
China
4%
Ukraine
13%
India
14%
Denmark
3%
Palestine
5%
Netherlands
4%
Italy
9%
Norway
2%
Sweden
3%
U.K.
4%
Belgium
2%
Spain
4%
Brazil
10%
Switzerland
4%
Finland
6%
Israel
Yes
Turkiye
Yes
Hungary
Yes
$668,727 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by...?
March 31
44%
December 31
No
November 30
No
$691,814 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
Will Russia capture Rodynske by...?
February 28
32%
December 31
No
November 30
No
October 31
No
September 30
No
September 15
No
January 31
No
$1,265,464 Vol.
Feb 28, 2026
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by...?
March 31
29%
February 28
12%
January 31
No
January 15
No
$320,341 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
Bank of Russia decision in February?
Decrease
25%
No Change
74%
Increase
<1%
$83,908 Vol.
Feb 13, 2026
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by...?
December 31
31%
June 30
17%
March 31
6%
$85,261 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by...?
June 30
5%
March 31
<1%
$204,053 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
Nuclear weapon detonation by...?
Before 2027
11%
June 30
6%
March 31
4%
$247,431 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Where will Trump and Putin meet next?
Belarus
2%
Finland
<1%
Russia
9%
Japan
2%
United States
2%
Other
4%
Ukraine
<1%
Turkey
3%
Switzerland
<1%
Gulf country
6%
South Korea
<1%
Australia
<1%
Other EU country
15%
No meeting by June 30
57%
China
8%
$546,467 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
Russian strike on a NATO member by...?
March 31
3%
December 31
No
October 31
No
$277,347 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by March 31, 2026?
5%
chance
$31,190 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
Ukraine hits Moscow by...?
February 28
7%
February 14
4%
$7,888 Vol.
Feb 28, 2026
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
15%
chance
$7,840 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
29%
chance
$47,942 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by...?
December 31
31%
March 31
6%
December 31
No
November 30
No
January 31
No
$445,161 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026