Will Israel strike Lebanon on...?
February 7
50%
February 6
56%
February 5
42%
February 4
<1%
February 3
<1%
February 2
Yes
February 1
Yes
$731,018 Vol.
Feb 28, 2026
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
21%
chance
$628,230 Vol.
Feb 28, 2026
Will Israel strike Gaza on...?
February 7
52%
February 6
42%
February 5
36%
February 3
<1%
February 4
Yes
February 2
No
February 1
No
$558,741 Vol.
Feb 28, 2026
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
38%
chance
$1,867,307 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
Which countries will join the Board of Peace by March 31?
Russia
19%
France
3%
Germany
3%
China
4%
Ukraine
13%
India
14%
Denmark
3%
Palestine
5%
Netherlands
4%
Italy
9%
Norway
2%
Sweden
3%
U.K.
4%
Belgium
2%
Spain
4%
Brazil
10%
Switzerland
4%
Finland
6%
Israel
Yes
Turkiye
Yes
Hungary
Yes
$668,727 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
44%
chance
$354,416 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?
36%
chance
$126,975 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
Will Israel strike Iraq by February 28?
6%
chance
$7,242 Vol.
Feb 28, 2026
Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?
June 30, 2026
38%
March 31, 2026
19%
February 28, 2026
6%
December 31
No
November 30
No
$1,470,923 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?
June 30
40%
March 31
11%
December 31
No
November 30
No
November 7
No
October 31
No
$3,876,995 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?
4%
chance
$63,810 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?
20%
chance
$2,861 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Foreign intervention in Gaza by March 31?
12%
chance
$292,112 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by February 28?
2%
chance
$17,512 Vol.
Feb 28, 2026
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?
December 31
45%
June 30
32%
$1,500 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?
32%
chance
$1,233 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
Oman
19%
Kuwait
20%
Syria
19%
Lebanon
14%
Saudi Arabia
20%
Azerbaijan
32%
Somaliland
39%
$153,590 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
73%
chance
$10,932 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026