US strikes Iran by...?
$175.48M Vol.
4m
24d
12h
$175,479,340 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
Outcome
% Chance
June 30
June 30
$3.48M Vol.
51%
March 31
March 31
$6.38M Vol.
41%
February 28
February 28
$8.64M Vol.
28%
February 20
February 20
$543.7K Vol.
18%
February 13
February 13
$4.02M Vol.
12%
February 9
February 9
$56.32K Vol.
7%
February 8
February 8
$47.48K Vol.
6%
February 7
February 7
$109.29K Vol.
5%
February 6
February 6
$6.11M Vol.
2%
February 5
February 5
$2.52M Vol.
<1%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between the time of this market's creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".