Will Israel strike Lebanon on...?
$731.03K Vol.
22d
12h
12m
$731,028 Vol.
Feb 28, 2026
Outcome
% Chance
February 7
February 7
$23.05K Vol.
50%
February 6
February 6
$37.16K Vol.
55%
February 5
February 5
$56.57K Vol.
42%
February 4
February 4
$181.57K Vol.
<1%
February 3
February 3
$223.8K Vol.
<1%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Lebanese soil on the listed date Israel Standard Time (IST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".