US strikes Iran by...?
$175.87M Vol.
4m
24d
10h
$175,867,628 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
Outcome
% Chance
June 30
June 30
$3.48M Vol.
50%
March 31
March 31
$6.41M Vol.
39%
February 28
February 28
$8.77M Vol.
26%
February 20
February 20
$551.43K Vol.
18%
February 13
February 13
$4.03M Vol.
12%
February 9
February 9
$59.07K Vol.
7%
February 8
February 8
$54.45K Vol.
6%
February 7
February 7
$122.72K Vol.
4%
February 6
February 6
$6.16M Vol.
2%
February 5
February 5
$2.67M Vol.
<1%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between the time of this market's creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".