US/Israel strikes Iran by...?
$10.6M Vol.
9d
10h
50m
$10,603,289 Vol.
Feb 15, 2026
Outcome
% Chance
December 31
December 31
$165.92K Vol.
64%
June 30
June 30
$49.04K Vol.
51%
March 31
March 31
$368.95K Vol.
41%
February 28
February 28
$552.27K Vol.
27%
February 15
February 15
$1.17M Vol.
14%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US or Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between the time of this market's creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".