Will Israel strike Lebanon on...?
$744.11K Vol.
22d
10h
42m
$744,115 Vol.
Feb 28, 2026
Outcome
% Chance
February 7
February 7
$23.09K Vol.
51%
February 6
February 6
$37.86K Vol.
49%
February 5
February 5
$59.96K Vol.
35%
February 4
February 4
$183.73K Vol.
<1%
February 3
February 3
$230.58K Vol.
<1%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Lebanese soil on the listed date Israel Standard Time (IST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".