Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by...?
$4.66M Vol.
1m
23d
10h
$4,659,253 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
Outcome
% Chance
June 30, 2026
June 30, 2026
$145.34K Vol.
49%
March 31, 2026
March 31, 2026
$1.05M Vol.
39%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if either Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate, or Iran initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Israeli soil or any official Israeli embassy or consulate, by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".