Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...?
$551.94K Vol.
10m
28d
10h
$551,944 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Outcome
% Chance
December 31
December 31
$130.99K Vol.
25%
June 30
June 30
$24.9K Vol.
18%
March 31
March 31
$102.45K Vol.
11%
Rules
If Iran halts or severely restricts international maritime traffic through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".