Event icon

Will Russia capture Sofiivka by...?

$6.91K Vol.

1m

23d

10h

$6,908 Vol.

Mar 31, 2026

Outcome

% Chance

March 31

$2.69K Vol.

56%

February 28

$4.22K Vol.

27%

Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 48.494433° N, 37.377320° E in Sofiivka, Donetsk Oblast, by February 28, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.