Event icon

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?

$2.26M Vol.

10m

28d

22h

$2,264,751 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026

Outcome

% Chance

December 31, 2026

$1.14K Vol.

17%

June 30, 2026

$133.51K Vol.

9%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a deal in which Ukraine agrees to formally recognize Russian sovereignty over any UN-recognized Ukrainian territory is reached between the Russian Federation and Ukraine by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.