Preddy Pro
Analysis

Chapter 4 · Analysis · Lesson 12 · 3 min

Post Counter

One post-count window up close, with the live count, the forecast and a fair price for every bracket.

Post Counter follows one post-count window: the live count, where it's heading, and a fair price for every bracket. It shows one market, so link it to a colour group, usually the same one as your Post Scanner.

What you see

Post Counter: the count cards and the bracket table
Rows with an edge light up, so a mispriced bracket stands out.
  1. 1
    Count card and its bracket
  2. 2
    Forecast card
  3. 3
    Posts still needed; Now is the current bracket
  4. 4
    Fair column
  5. 5
    Highlighted edge

The cards show the count and its bracket, the time left, the forecast and the pace, read the same as in Post Scanner.

Each bracket row shows the posts it still needs (Now marks the current one), the model's chance, the Fair price blended with the book, the Yes and No asks in cents, and the edge. Brackets the count has passed are hidden until you show them under the table.

Using it

Trade a bracket

Click a row and the colour switches to that bracket on the side with the edge (Yes if there's none), and its ask goes to the Betslip as a limit price. Click Yes or No to pick the side yourself. Nothing is placed until you submit.

Final stretch

In the last 24 hours (you can change that in settings), a line above the table shows how many posts the next bracket needs, its chance and the hourly rate that takes.

When the window closes, the count can still move for about 10 minutes while the tracker catches up. Don't treat the first final number as settled.

Charts

The chart has four views: the whole window with its forecast range, the last 48 hours against the usual, a map of every hour, and the account's daily rhythm.

The Window chart: the count so far and the projection
Where the count can end up.
  1. 1
    Count line
  2. 2
    Forecast range
  3. 3
    Likely-bracket bands
The 48h chart: posts per hour against the usual
Whether the account is posting more or less than usual right now.
The Map chart: every hour of the week, busiest in bright colour
Which hours and days were busy.
The Rhythm chart: posts by hour of day
When the account usually posts and sleeps.

With other widgets

  • Click a window in Post Scanner and Post Counter switches to it.
  • Post Feed in the same colour shows the posts as they land.

Tips

  • In the final stretch, compare the rate the next bracket needs with the last few hours on the 48h view. If the account has been posting well below it, that bracket is a long shot.
  • Check Rhythm before you trust the forecast overnight. If the account's busy hours are still ahead in its time zone, the count has room to move.
  • Holding the window? Scan the If final column before adding: it shows which brackets would hurt you.

Finish reading to complete this lesson

Extras

Your position

Post Counter with your position in the window
If final shows what each landing bracket would do to your P&L.
  1. 1
    Now: P&L at the bid
  2. 2
    Expected at resolution
  3. 3
    Worst to best case
  4. 4
    If final: your P&L per bracket

If you hold the window, a summary shows your P&L if you sold at the bid now, the expected P&L at resolution, and the worst and best case. Held shows your shares per bracket, and If final your P&L if the count lands there.

More on the numbers

  • A Fair price with * has no book behind it yet, so it's the model alone.
  • With less than a day of history, the forecast is flagged as a rough guess.
  • Counts come from Polymarket's xtracker, the market's resolution source. Posts land there a few minutes late.
  • After the window closes, the widget shows the final count and its bracket, then waits for the market to resolve, usually about 2 hours after the end.

Settings

SettingWhat it does
Hide passed bracketsHides brackets below the current count, which can no longer win.
PositionsThe Held and If final columns and the position summary.
ColumnsWhich columns the table shows.
Fair priceBlend (half model, half book) or Model (the raw forecast).
Highlight edge fromThe edge in cents below which it stays grey and a row click opens Yes. 2¢ by default.
Final stretchHow long before the end the line to the next bracket appears: 6h, 12h, 24h or 48h.
Burst badgeShows the Burst badge in the header.
Activity chartShows or hides the charts.